![]() ![]() The point here is not to dissect the projections but to see if there is a massive difference in QB value and WR value given two starting QB spots among 32-34 starters, and 3-4 WR spots given 66 starters (give or take). ![]() I’m assuming Ridley improves by 15% given the departure of Julio funneling more TD targets his way (could be wrong, Pitts is there) and giving Jeudy a 40% improvement over his rookie season and getting Bridgewater throwing more accurate passes underneath. This is assuming that Brady has a 1% improvement over last year (could be too low) and that Ryan declines by 3%. Now let’s take a look at the WR comps between Ridley and Jeudy. QBĪs before, using standard PPR and a 16-game season for consistency with last year So the comparison that’s relevant here is Brady vs Ryan and Ridley vs Jeudy as last starter vs last starter. Pairing Brady with Murray is really nice, but is it better than pairing Ridley with Cooper? Had this team taken Ridley, he could have still grabbed Gibson as RB1 and then gotten Matt Ryan on the return in the 4th. I’ll use the guy who took Brady as an example. Drafting for Value vs Avoiding Runsįirst let’s take a look at the casual bestball league since most people reading this will not be drafting against industry experts, because really this is about reading tendencies and taking advantage of them. There is no right way, and if you are in the front half of the draft there is really no way of knowing how the draft will go and what will come back to you in the second. I’ve come to the conclusion that trying to decipher what is the right way or wrong way to draft in Superflex is a meaningless question. In yet another experts league, this one from FootballGuys staff, and a 14-team Superflex, we see a vastly different draft strategy being employed, with 14 QBs going in the first two rounds. However, in a recent 12-team expert league, only 4 QBs went in the first two rounds (image below). This is in a casual $35 best ball league. The bigger question is when to take a QB in general when playing Superflex or 2QB leagues in redraft.Īs you can see in the image above, QBs went heavy in the first two rounds, with Brady being taken as the 9th QB at 2.10. While there is no wrong answer because it all depends on how you develop the rest of your roster, it did seem that with even modest projections for McCaffrey, he was the winner in terms of return. Last week I did a little VBD analysis on the first pick in Superflex, comparing the relative value of taking Mahomes #1 vs McCaffrey #1. ![]()
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